PRINCIPLES OF SAFETY MANAGEMENT OF AIR TRAFFIC FLOWS AND CAPACITY UNDER UNCERTAINTY CONDITIONS

Authors

  • Wang Bo Ningbo University of Technology, Ningbo, China
  • Volodymyr Kharchenko National Aviation University, Kyiv, Ukraine; Ningbo University of Technology, Ningbo, China
  • Yuriy Chynchenko National Aviation University, Kyiv, Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18372/2306-1472.68.10904

Keywords:

aeronautical system, air traffic flow and capacity management, air traffic services, flight safety assessment, safety of flights, uncertainty factors

Abstract

Purpose: The aim of this study is to investigate the general principles of safety and capacity management in Aeronautical systems regarding air traffic flows operations under uncertainty conditions. In this work the theoretical framework assessing at the same time both the uncertainty model and flight plans model are proposed. Methods: To study features of safety of air traffic flows and capacity under uncertainty conditions were built the original probabilistic models including Bayesian Network for flight plan and air traffic control sector model based on Poisson Binomial Distribution. Results: We obtained models for safety management of air traffic flows and capacity under uncertainty conditions. We discussed appropriate approach for estimating the parameters of safety of air traffic flows and capacity under uncertainty and Markovian uncertainty model for the flight plan. Discussion: We developed the Bayesian Network for flight plan and air traffic control sector models for safety management of air traffic flows and capacity under uncertainty conditions.

Author Biographies

Wang Bo, Ningbo University of Technology, Ningbo, China

PhD. Professor.

College of Economics and Management of Ningbo University of Technology, China.

Research area: presided over a “high-end project” launched by Chinese Bureau of Foreign Experts; presided over and accomplished a longitudinal project launched by the provincial education department; presided over a 800-thousand Yuan horizontal project launched by Ningbo Traffic Detachment; took a major part in a project on international cooperation launched by Ministry of Science and Technology of China (2/6); took part in a municipal project on social sciences and quite a number of horizontal projects in Ningbo.

Volodymyr Kharchenko, National Aviation University, Kyiv, Ukraine; Ningbo University of Technology, Ningbo, China

Doctor of Engineering. Professor.

Vice-Rector on Scientific and Research Work, National Aviation University, Kyiv, Ukraine.

Professor of Traffic College of Ningbo University of Technology, Ningbo, China.

Editor-in-Chief of the scientific journal Proceedings of the National Aviation University.

Winner of the State Prize of Ukraine in Science and Technology, Honored Worker of Science and Technolgy of Ukraine.

Education: Kyiv Institute of Civil Aviation Engineers, Kyiv, Ukraine.

Research area: management of complex socio-technical systems, air navigation systems and automatic decision-making systems aimed at avoidance conflict situations, space information technology design, air navigation services in Ukraine provided by СNS/АТМ systems.

Yuriy Chynchenko, National Aviation University, Kyiv, Ukraine

Candidate of Engineering. Associate Professor.

Department of Air Navigation Systems, National Aviation University, Kyiv, Ukraine.

Education: Faculty of Air Traffic Services, State Flight Academy of Ukraine, Kirovograd, Ukraine (1998).

Research area: improvement and automation of a professional selection system and development of professional-major skills of civil air traffic controllers.

References

ATFCM Operations Manual. Network manager. Brussels, Eurocontrol. 2015. 196 p.

ATFCM Users Manual. Network operations. Brussels, Eurocontrol. 2015. 122 p.

Caron G.M., Savéant P., Schoenauer M. Multiobjective tactical planning under uncertainty for air traffic flow and capacity management. IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation. 2013. P. 1548-1555.

Bertsimas D., Lulli G., Odoni A.R. An Inte-ger Optimization Approach to Large-Scale Air Traffic Flow Management. Operations Research. 2011. Vol. 59, N1. P. 211-227.

Clare G., Richards A. Air Traffic Flow Management Under Uncertainty: Application of Chance Constraints. 2nd International Conference on Application and Theory of Automation in Command and Control Systems (ATACCS’2012). 2012. P. 20–26,

Oussedik S., Delahaye D., Schoenauer M., Air Traffic Management by Stochastic Optimiza-tion. 2nd USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar. 1998. P. 1–10.

Flener P., Pearson J., Ågren M., Garcia Avello C., Celiktin M., Dissing S., Air-Traffic Complexity Resolution in Multi-Sector Planning using Constraint Programming. 7th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar, 2007.

Delahaye D., Oussedik S., and Puechmorel S. Airspace Congestion Smoothing by Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm. 20th Annual ACM Symposium on Applied Computing (SAC 2005). 2005. P. 907–912.

Kharchenko, V.; Chynchenko, Yu. Integrated safety management system in air traffic services. Proceedings of the National Aviation University. 2014. N1. P. 6-9.

Kharchenko, V.; Chynchenko, Yu. Estimation of effect of uncertainty factors on safety of air traffic flows in terminal control areas. Proceedings of the National Aviation University. 2015. N4.

Kharchenko, V.; Chynchenko, Yu. Integrated risk picture methodology for air traffic management in Europe. Proceedings of the National Aviation University. 2013. N1. P. 15-19.

Gilbo E.P., Smith S.B. New Method for Probabilistic Traffic Demand Predictions for En Route Sectors Based on Uncertain Predictions of Individual Flight Events. 9th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar, 2011.

Published

11-11-2016

How to Cite

Bo, W., Kharchenko, V., & Chynchenko, Y. (2016). PRINCIPLES OF SAFETY MANAGEMENT OF AIR TRAFFIC FLOWS AND CAPACITY UNDER UNCERTAINTY CONDITIONS. Advances in Aerospace Technology, 68(3), 7–12. https://doi.org/10.18372/2306-1472.68.10904

Issue

Section

AEROSPACE SYSTEMS FOR MONITORING AND CONTROL

Most read articles by the same author(s)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 > >>