PERFORMANCE EVALUATION AND COMPARISON OF STRATEGIES (DECISION) IF THERE ARE UNCERTAINTIES

Abstract

Decision-making body is often forced to act in the face of uncertainty, ie the decision-making body has less information than is necessary for the appropriate organization of its actions in the decision-making process. Uncertainty in decision-making due to a lack of reliability and the amount of information on which to base decision-making body chooses solutions. Thus, in the decision-making process there are a number of situations that have varying degrees of uncertainty and require for their description in order to obtain the solution of the mathematical apparatus, which would have included a priori the possibility of uncertainty. The paper discusses various typical situations and the technique of making a decision that is based on the principle of guaranteed result effectiveness of the chosen strategy.