FEATURES OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON UKRAINE: SCENARIOS, CONSEQUENCES FOR NATURE AND AGROECOSYSTEMS

Authors

  • Svitlana Boychenko S. I. Subbotin Institute of Geophysics of the NAS of Ukraine
  • Volodymyr Voloshchuk Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Research Institute
  • Yaroslav Movchan National aviation university, Kyiv /National ecological centre of Ukraine
  • Nadiia Serdjuchenko Leonid Pogorilyy UkrNDIPVT
  • Vasyl Tkachenko M.G. Kholodny Institute of Botany of the NAS of Ukraine
  • Oksana Tyshchenko ERC "Institute of Biology and Medicine" of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv
  • Serhij Savchenko National aviation university, Kyiv /National ecological centre of Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18372/2306-1472.69.11061

Keywords:

adaptation, agriculture, catastrophic events, climate change, desertification, ecological consequences, levels of the Black sea and the Sea of Azov, precipitation, scenarios, steppe phytosystem, temperature, vegetation changes, water resources

Abstract

Purpose: The aim of this study is to investigate the basic features of climate change in Ukraine at 20th–21st centuries and to obtain an estimation of possible regional ecological consequences under influence of global warming. Methods: The empirical constants of the constructed semi-empirical models were estimated on the basis of the statistical analysis of materials of meteorological observations on meteorological stations of Ukraine for the XX century – beginning of XXІ century. The obtained results can be used to construct scenarios of the possible climate change in Ukraine at global warming in the near future. Results: The climatic conditions of Ukraine have definitely reacted to global warming (the annual temperature increased by 0.6±0.2 оС/100 years and insignificant increase of the annual sums of precipitations (5–7% for 100 years)). The features of transformation of seasonal course of climatic fields of Ukraine of the temperature and atmospheric precipitations considered also. Taking into account global features of climate change are offered regional climate scenarios (temperature and precipitation) in Ukraine for the 2050. Discussion: The analysis of the basic ecological consequences of global warming, which already happened or can be in the nearest future in Ukraine is carried out: increasing level of the Black sea and Sea of Azov; the spatiotemporal transformation of steppe phytosystem structure; changes in Northern Sea of Azov maritime spits ecosystems; excitation of catastrophic events in Ukraine, desertification process development in southern and southeast regions of Ukraine, climate change impacts on agriculture, aspects of water resources.

Author Biographies

Svitlana Boychenko, S. I. Subbotin Institute of Geophysics of the NAS of Ukraine

Doctor of Geographical Sciences. Associated Professor

Leading Researcher of S. I. Subbotin Institute of Geophysics of the NAS of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine, department of geomagnetizm

Education: Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine, 1996

Research area: Climatology, Meteorology, Geoecology

Volodymyr Voloshchuk, Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Research Institute

Doctor of physical-mathematical sciences. Professor

Chief research scientist of Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Research Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine, department of atmosphere physics

Education: Lvov State University name of Ivan Franko (1962)

Research area: Physics of an atmosphere, physics of aerosols, climate changes

Yaroslav Movchan, National aviation university, Kyiv /National ecological centre of Ukraine

Doctor of biological sciences Professor of Chair of ecology

Head of Laboratory of ecosafety of Ukraine, Kyiv, National aviation university, Laboratory of ecosafety

Education: Chernivtsi university, 1979

Research area: Ecology, Energy efficiency, Sustainable development.

Nadiia Serdjuchenko, Leonid Pogorilyy UkrNDIPVT

PhD in Geographical Sciences

Leading Researcher of Leonid Pogorilyy UkrNDIPVT, Doslidnitske town, Ukraine. Laboratory of agricultural resources research and crop yield forecasting

Education: Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, 2001

Research area: Climatology, Agrometeorology.

Vasyl Tkachenko, M.G. Kholodny Institute of Botany of the NAS of Ukraine

Doctor of Biological Sciences.

Leading Resercher of M.G.Kholodny Institute of Botany of the NAS of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine, Department of Geobotany and Phytosystems Ecology

Education: Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine, 1960

Research area: Steppes researching, phytosociology, phytosozology, ecology of phytosystems.

Oksana Tyshchenko, ERC "Institute of Biology and Medicine" of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv

PhD in Biology. Associated Professor

Associated Professor of Botany Department ERC "InstituteofBiology" of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine, Botany Department

Education: Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Ukraine, 1997

Research area: Phytosociology, Phytosozology, Systematics of Vascularand Non-vascular Higher Plants.

Serhij Savchenko, National aviation university, Kyiv /National ecological centre of Ukraine

Specialist of 2-nd category of Ukraine, Kyiv, National aviation university, department of ecology

Education: National Aviation university, 2016

Research area: Ecology, Climatology, Energy efficiency

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Published

21-12-2016

How to Cite

Boychenko, S., Voloshchuk, V., Movchan, Y., Serdjuchenko, N., Tkachenko, V., Tyshchenko, O., & Savchenko, S. (2016). FEATURES OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON UKRAINE: SCENARIOS, CONSEQUENCES FOR NATURE AND AGROECOSYSTEMS. Proceedings of National Aviation University, 69(4), 96–113. https://doi.org/10.18372/2306-1472.69.11061

Issue

Section

BIOTECHNOLOGY