Statistical modelling and evaluation of aircraft collision risk using correlation theory

Authors

  • В.М. Васильєв Інститут інформаційно-діагностичних систем НАУ

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18372/2306-1472.21.1031

Abstract

 The method of statistical modelling and evaluation of collision probability is offered. It can make a methodological basis for an evaluation of air traffic safety, and also to be applied to detection of potential conflict situations while air traffic control. For the mathematical description of predicted air traffic movement, and for the evaluation of collision probability the correlation functions of deviation process from planned flight trajectory are used. The procedure of an evaluation of collision risk is presented.

Author Biography

В.М. Васильєв, Інститут інформаційно-діагностичних систем НАУ

канд. техн. наук

References

Bakker G.J., Kremer H.J., Blom H.A.P. Proba-bilistic Approaches Toward Conflict Prediction //Air Transportation Systems Engineering, AIAA. – 2001. – P. 677–694.

Paielli R.A., Erzberger H. Conflict Probability Estimation for Free Flight // Journal of Guidance, Control and Dynamics. – 1997. – Vol. 20, № 3. – Р. 588–596.

Васильєв В.М. Методи прогнозування і оцінки ймовірності конфліктів при польоті літаків на маршрутах //Вісн. НАУ. – 2004. – №2. – С. 24–29.

Унгурян С.Г., Маркович Е.Д., Волевач А.И. Анализ и моделирование систем управления воздушным движением.– М.: Транспорт, 1980. – 205 с.

How to Cite

Васильєв, В. (2004). Statistical modelling and evaluation of aircraft collision risk using correlation theory. Proceedings of National Aviation University, 21(3), 70–73. https://doi.org/10.18372/2306-1472.21.1031

Issue

Section

AEROSPACE SYSTEMS FOR MONITORING AND CONTROL