TY - JOUR AU - Zaporozhets, Oleksandr AU - Gosudarska, Inna PY - 2016/12/21 Y2 - 2024/03/29 TI - THE AIRCRAFT ACCIDENT PROBABILITY MODEL IN THE VICINITY OF THE AIRPORT JF - Proceedings of National Aviation University JA - Proceedings of National Aviation University VL - 69 IS - 4 SE - ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION DO - 10.18372/2306-1472.69.11058 UR - https://jrnl.nau.edu.ua/index.php/visnik/article/view/11058 SP - 69-76 AB - <p><em>This paper describes the </em><em>results </em><em>of processing and </em><em>statistical analysis of accident data involving different types of Ukrainian-registered aircraft and including data from the CIS. The proportions of aircraft accidents both in Civil aviation of Ukraine and in</em><em> Civil aviation of </em><em>the Participants Agreement</em><em> for different phases of flight have determined. </em><em>The current models for assessing the probability of an </em><em>aircraft </em><em>accident</em><em> in the vicinity of airports have analysed. The improved accident probability model </em><em>is presented that </em><em>allows for different categories of large and light aircraft to estimate the probability of the aircraft accident on the different phases of</em><em> </em><em>flight. The results of investigation the local aircraft crash risk at Kyiv Borispol international airport are presented.</em></p> ER -