ESTIMATION OF BAD WEATHER CONDITIONS INFLUENCE ON DIFFERENT PHASES OF FLIGHT USING EXPERT JUDGEMENT METHOD

Authors

  • Tetiana Shmelova National Aviation University
  • Zhanna Maksymchuk National Aviation University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18372/2306-1472.79.13827

Keywords:

accident, artificial intelligence, bad weather conditions, expert judgement method, machine learning, stages of flight

Abstract

Purpose: estimation of the influence of five different types of bad weather conditions: fog, wind shear, thunderstorm, icing and snow on the aircraft operations during three stages of flight: takeoff and climb, enroute, descent and landing. Methods: using the significance of influence on the flight operations as the parameter of comparison, bad weather conditions are compared by experts in their questionnaires. With the help of expert judgement method, the experts’ group opinions are obtained, coordinated, the significance of calculations criteria and weight coefficients are calculated. Using the results of calculations, the general histogram of weight coefficients for three different stages of flight is built, representing the significance of bad weather conditions influence on aircraft operations. Results: the expert system methodology presented in this work helps to evaluate the impact of weather events on the flight operations and select the appropriate measures of preventing bad weather conditions influence on each stage of flight. Discussion: the derived expert system can be used in airplane operations to evaluate the impact caused by weather, for further improvement of the situational awareness and decision making process of aviation staff with the application of new artificial intelligence technologies.

Author Biographies

Tetiana Shmelova, National Aviation University

Doctor of Engineering, Associate Professor

Professor of the Air Navigation Systems Department of the National Aviation University, Kyiv, Ukraine

Education: Automation and Energetics Faculty, Kirovograd Institute of Agricultural Mechanical Engineering, Kirovograd, Ukraine (1983).

Research area: development of the evaluation system of decision-making efficiency by the human-operators of Air Navigation Socio-technical System in the expected and unexpected operating conditions of an aircraft with the influence of the professional and non-professional factors.

Zhanna Maksymchuk, National Aviation University

Student of the National Aviation University, Kyiv, Ukraine

Education: Faculty of Air Navigation, Electronics and Telecommunications, National Aviation University, Kyiv, Ukraine (2019).

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How to Cite

Shmelova, T., & Maksymchuk, Z. (2019). ESTIMATION OF BAD WEATHER CONDITIONS INFLUENCE ON DIFFERENT PHASES OF FLIGHT USING EXPERT JUDGEMENT METHOD. Proceedings of National Aviation University, 79(2), 19–27. https://doi.org/10.18372/2306-1472.79.13827

Issue

Section

AEROSPACE SYSTEMS FOR MONITORING AND CONTROL